{"id":2007,"date":"2026-10-01T18:03:45","date_gmt":"2026-10-01T13:03:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ipp-news.com\/?p=2007"},"modified":"2026-10-01T18:03:45","modified_gmt":"2026-10-01T13:03:45","slug":"inflation-falls-to-10-3-but-stays-double-digit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ipp-news.com\/?p=2007","title":{"rendered":"Inflation falls to 10.3%, but stays double-digit"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Pakistan\u2019s headline inflation eased to 10.3% year-on-year (YoY) in September 2026, down from 11.1% in August, according to data from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) released on Thursday.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Inflation was 5.8% in September 2025.<\/p>\n

On a month-on-month basis, the consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.3% in September, compared with 1.2% in August and 2.1% in September 2025.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Urban and rural<\/h3>\n

Urban CPI inflation rose 10.1% YoY in September, down from 10.4% in August. It was 5.7% a year earlier. Month-on-month, urban prices rose 1.3%, compared with 0.9% in August and 1.6% in September 2025.<\/p>\n

Rural CPI inflation rose 10.5% YoY, down from 12.2% in August and up from 5.9% a year earlier.<\/p>\n

Month-on-month, rural prices rose 1.2%, compared with 1.6% in August and 2.8% in September 2025.<\/p>\n

In the first quarter of FY27, CPI inflation averaged 10.2%, against 4.3% in the same period last year.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Government outlook<\/strong><\/h3>\n

The Finance Division, in its monthly Economic Update & Outlook released a day earlier, said inflation would stay elevated in the near term. It projected headline CPI at 10-11% for September. The path beyond that, it said, depends largely on international oil prices.<\/p>\n

The report said higher current spending and interest payments pushed the consolidated fiscal deficit to Rs596.6 billion in July 2026.<\/p>\n

It named elevated global oil prices as the main risk to the outlook, citing their effect on purchasing power, input costs and the import bill.<\/p>\n

The report said the Prime Minister\u2019s Fuel Relief Scheme supports lower-income households through a digital delivery system, without cutting the petroleum levy. This, it said, protects purchasing power while preserving fiscal discipline.<\/p>\n

<\/a>Analysts\u2019 expectations<\/h3>\n

Brokerage houses had expected inflation to ease to around 10% in September. They said rising fuel and electricity costs would keep price pressures elevated and complicate the central bank\u2019s policy outlook.<\/p>\n

Estimates from Topline Securities, Ismail Iqbal Securities, Abbasi and Company and Growth Securities ranged from 9.9% to 10.5% YoY.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Pakistan\u2019s headline inflation eased to 10.3% year-on-year (YoY) in September 2026, down from 11.1% in August, according to data from the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) released on Thursday. Inflation was 5.8% in September 2025. On a month-on-month basis, the consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.3% in September, compared with 1.2% in August and 2.1% in September 2025. Urban and rural Urban CPI inflation rose 10.1% YoY in September, down from 10.4% in August. It was 5.7% a year earlier. Month-on-month, urban prices rose 1.3%, compared with 0.9% in August…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2007","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-english"],"gutentor_comment":0,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ipp-news.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2007","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ipp-news.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ipp-news.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ipp-news.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ipp-news.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2007"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ipp-news.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2007\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ipp-news.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2007"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ipp-news.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2007"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ipp-news.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2007"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}